Thailand's General Election Raises Questions About Democracy and Stability
As Thailand prepares to vote on Sunday, the opposition People's Party is making a last-ditch effort to break a cycle of dispiriting loops that have trapped reformist parties in power for decades. With millions of views on social media and thousands gathering at rally stops, the party's "Choose the Future" tour has generated hope among many that this time could be different.
However, winning an election does not guarantee the right to govern, as Thailand's royalist conservative establishment remains a powerful force. The People's Party, also known simply as the Orange party for its signature colour, is the latest incarnation of a progressive movement that has repeatedly clashed with the monarchy and military-backed governments.
The party's predecessor won the last election in 2023, taking 151 seats, but was blocked from power by a military-appointed Senate. The party was disbanded twice before it reconstituted as Move Forward and again won the 2023 election – only to be dissolved again soon after.
The People's Party has already changed Thai politics with its promise of reform, particularly in rural areas where vote-buying practices have long dominated elections. However, analysts warn that "money politics" could still tilt outcomes, even if voters increasingly "take the money but vote with their heart."
The party's leader, Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut, is currently leading in polls for prime minister, followed closely by caretaker Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul of the conservative Bhumjaithai Party. The People's Party will need to secure 200 seats or more to form a government.
Despite the challenges ahead, Rukchanok Srinork, a young lawmaker with the party, remains optimistic. "We are a party that won an election without spending a single baht on buying votes," she said. "We don't use money to buy power." Her story reflects the party's appeal, as people increasingly understand their role in politics and voice their concerns.
However, opponents of the reformist movement remain confident that Anutin can form a government with the support of powerful allies from business and diplomatic circles. The conservative establishment has also rolled out populist policies that have resonated with struggling households and small businesses.
The outcome of the election will not only shape Thailand's democracy but also its economy, which is in distress. Growth has slowed to less than 2 percent, tariffs have hurt exporters, and tourist arrivals have declined. "Respecting the results and avoiding political manoeuvring that derails democratic processes" are essential to restore economic confidence.
Ultimately, the People's Party will need to prove that it can deliver on its promises of reform without succumbing to the same cycle of power struggles that have plagued Thailand for decades. If they succeed, it could mark a turning point in Thai politics and pave the way for a more stable and democratic future.
As Thailand prepares to vote on Sunday, the opposition People's Party is making a last-ditch effort to break a cycle of dispiriting loops that have trapped reformist parties in power for decades. With millions of views on social media and thousands gathering at rally stops, the party's "Choose the Future" tour has generated hope among many that this time could be different.
However, winning an election does not guarantee the right to govern, as Thailand's royalist conservative establishment remains a powerful force. The People's Party, also known simply as the Orange party for its signature colour, is the latest incarnation of a progressive movement that has repeatedly clashed with the monarchy and military-backed governments.
The party's predecessor won the last election in 2023, taking 151 seats, but was blocked from power by a military-appointed Senate. The party was disbanded twice before it reconstituted as Move Forward and again won the 2023 election – only to be dissolved again soon after.
The People's Party has already changed Thai politics with its promise of reform, particularly in rural areas where vote-buying practices have long dominated elections. However, analysts warn that "money politics" could still tilt outcomes, even if voters increasingly "take the money but vote with their heart."
The party's leader, Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut, is currently leading in polls for prime minister, followed closely by caretaker Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul of the conservative Bhumjaithai Party. The People's Party will need to secure 200 seats or more to form a government.
Despite the challenges ahead, Rukchanok Srinork, a young lawmaker with the party, remains optimistic. "We are a party that won an election without spending a single baht on buying votes," she said. "We don't use money to buy power." Her story reflects the party's appeal, as people increasingly understand their role in politics and voice their concerns.
However, opponents of the reformist movement remain confident that Anutin can form a government with the support of powerful allies from business and diplomatic circles. The conservative establishment has also rolled out populist policies that have resonated with struggling households and small businesses.
The outcome of the election will not only shape Thailand's democracy but also its economy, which is in distress. Growth has slowed to less than 2 percent, tariffs have hurt exporters, and tourist arrivals have declined. "Respecting the results and avoiding political manoeuvring that derails democratic processes" are essential to restore economic confidence.
Ultimately, the People's Party will need to prove that it can deliver on its promises of reform without succumbing to the same cycle of power struggles that have plagued Thailand for decades. If they succeed, it could mark a turning point in Thai politics and pave the way for a more stable and democratic future.